Easter Road Toll Myth
So I am very relieved to get through the Easter period. I took it safe and did not get in a car at all. Now I will be right for the year... the danger has passed!
Or has it?
I decided to take a closer look at the TAC VICTORIAN figures:
Total and average deaths on weekends:
2006: 118 deaths Sat & Sunday, 22 deaths Friday night
2005: 118 deaths Sat & Sunday, 16 deaths Friday night
2004: 113 deaths Sat & Sunday, 22 deaths Friday night, 2407 Serious Injuries
2003: 117 deaths Sat & Sunday, 22 deaths Friday night, 2480 Serious Injuries
Now this data needs to be scaled for a long weekend.
I have multiplied the sat & Sunday deaths by 2. And then added the Friday deaths.
This gives 4.9 deaths and 92 Serious Injuries a 'long weekend'.
Now for the Easter data from over the years:
2007 - Approx. 10 deaths
2006 - 3 deaths
2005 - 6 deaths, 79 serious injuries
2004 - 1 death, 80 serious injuries
2003 - 4 deaths, 95 serious injuries
2002 - 6 deaths, 79 serious injuries
2001 - 6 deaths, 76 serious injuries
Which averages:
5.14 deaths and 81.8 serious injuries over the four day period.
Which is ever so similar to the year long average!?!?
Which leaves me to make my point, driving during Easter is dangerous, yet it’s just as dangerous as driving during any other time of the year! And if we assume that the roads are busier over Easter, and more drivers are driving on unfamiliar roads, then Victorian's drive safer over the Easter break then usual.
So perhaps the media could report that the true tragedy is that the Easter road toll happens each weekend.
Or has it?
I decided to take a closer look at the TAC VICTORIAN figures:
Total and average deaths on weekends:
2006: 118 deaths Sat & Sunday, 22 deaths Friday night
2005: 118 deaths Sat & Sunday, 16 deaths Friday night
2004: 113 deaths Sat & Sunday, 22 deaths Friday night, 2407 Serious Injuries
2003: 117 deaths Sat & Sunday, 22 deaths Friday night, 2480 Serious Injuries
Now this data needs to be scaled for a long weekend.
I have multiplied the sat & Sunday deaths by 2. And then added the Friday deaths.
This gives 4.9 deaths and 92 Serious Injuries a 'long weekend'.
Now for the Easter data from over the years:
2007 - Approx. 10 deaths
2006 - 3 deaths
2005 - 6 deaths, 79 serious injuries
2004 - 1 death, 80 serious injuries
2003 - 4 deaths, 95 serious injuries
2002 - 6 deaths, 79 serious injuries
2001 - 6 deaths, 76 serious injuries
Which averages:
5.14 deaths and 81.8 serious injuries over the four day period.
Which is ever so similar to the year long average!?!?
Which leaves me to make my point, driving during Easter is dangerous, yet it’s just as dangerous as driving during any other time of the year! And if we assume that the roads are busier over Easter, and more drivers are driving on unfamiliar roads, then Victorian's drive safer over the Easter break then usual.
So perhaps the media could report that the true tragedy is that the Easter road toll happens each weekend.
posted by Alex at 11:56 PM
10 Comments:
Good post man- welcome on board.
But what's the deal with the name- Lex Games?
are you serious?
Yes I agree the names no good. But I'm not clever enough to come up with a better name. Please help me.
I also think the blog should use that google news feature. But instead we have it set to pick up silly news stories.
Oh, and I also think the blog should be carbon neutral...
um- whatever, I'm sure we can arrange something along those lines.
I'm just pleased that one of the contributors is actually contributing.
A great day indeed!
Hooray for progress.
Well put A J. You make a well researched and well thought through opinion. A first for this blog!
I hear that victorian roads are approx 0.06% less safe whenever A.J is driving, and 0.13% less safe when Cam 's behind the wheel.
"This car is 100% death proof, only to get the benefit of it honey, you really need to be sitting in my seat!" -Stuntman Mike
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